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What is Serial?
Polymarket may defend any substantial investment in marketing given the overwhelming impact on customer acquisition that ensued. On Tuesday, Polymarket ranked first on the App Store in downloads for free finance apps, topping archrival Kalshi, Capital One Mobile and prominent payment providers PayPal and Venmo.
The company did not immediately respond to a request for comment from iGB.
A bevy of participating athletes took to social media this week to share their thoughts on the campaign. An X post from Leguizamo, a longtime comedian, encapsulated the fast-paced nature of prediction markets.
About Serial
“We expect new products such as KPI markets, which allow users to trade a single corporate metric, such as production, deliveries, or subscriber growth, rather than the stock price itself,” observe the analysts. “Further, perp futures are expanding from crypto to commodities and single stock perps.”
Some exchange operators already filed plans to introduce KPI-linked event contracts. Those derivatives would be tied to metrics such as corporate earnings or, in more nuanced cases, Apple iPhone shipments or Tesla deliveries — just two examples — in a given quarter.
While sports event contracts remain the headline-grabbers for prediction market operators, there’s evidence that other categories are experiencing growth. As Bernstein points out, cryptocurrency event contracts account for at least 20% of the turnover on the two largest prediction markets.
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Before betting, they accepted personal responsibility provided that information was clear.
During immersive play, however, they wanted operators to take a more active role, through mechanisms such as pop-ups and reality checks.
After play, some looked to banks or regulatory bodies for oversight on total spend across platforms.